Category Archives: Risk

Three Reasons Why Financial Models Fail

Financial models, the tools used to forecast cash going into and out of a company, profit, loss, liquidity, risk are important tools to managers. Unfortunately sometimes they go wrong. Often they go wrong due to unforeseen events – problems in … Continue reading

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The Problems of Assessing Risk with Active Agents

Risk analysis is not perfect.  We do out best with available data to make forecasts subject to uncertainty, to estimate how things can go wrong and how likely they are.  We can make recommendations and I like to think that this has value for clients. In all of … Continue reading

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Forces of Nature and acts of God

Recently there has been much in the news about natural disasters. Firstly there has been the trial and conviction of the Italian Seismologists accused of giving falsely reassuring statements prior to the L’Aquila earthquake; now there has been a lot of press coverage of Hurricane … Continue reading

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